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strategy is based on stocks that split. Most investors
believe that stock splits bring value. They just aren’t
sure at what point the value comes. In search for this
increase in value, the publishers of SplitMaster.com launched
an intensive study of twenty-five years of historical
stock split data.
From this study the publishers
found what they were looking for; an opportunity of
time to invest in stock splits that publishers call
“the investment period” or “the sweet spot.” A strategy
was developed based on their analysis. The strategy
is all based around buying a stock that splits, one
to two weeks before it splits and selling it one to
10 days after the stock makes the splits. The exact
days to buy and sell are based a certain category a
stock falls in. Once a stock is placed in its category,
it is then compared to historical data, and that
data gives us the best days to buy and sell.
This strategy has been
active since 1997 and has posted an average annual gain
of 104% and a 182% gain in 1999. In 2000, even with
the DOW and the Nasdaq down, the strategy posted a 60.89%
gain. The study, which is an ongoing project, takes
many factors into consideration to develop various criteria.
From this analysis, proprietary software has been developed
to determine which stocks will become picks for this
strategy. Not all stocks meet the criteria needed to
become Strategy picks.
The process starts out
through diligent observation of all companies that announce
a stock split. Immediately upon a company announcing
a split, all pertinent information about the split (announce
data, pay date, ex-date, split ratio, price history,
etc.) is entered into the proprietary software program.
The system then determines which stocks meet the criteria,
the best day to buy a particular pick and the best day
to sell. The information is then posted to the SpliltMaster
web site two days in advance of a buy date. The site
also posts all stocks that are active in the system.
Active Picks are those stocks that have reached the
posted buy date but have not yet reached their posted
sell date.
This site is updated on
a daily basis. Subscribers can login to the SplitMaster.com
site at any time to see what the latest postings are.
THERE ARE NO LENGTHY REPORTS TO DOWNLOAD FROM YOUR E-MAIL,
NO LENGTHY STRATEGIES TO STUDY AND NO CHARTS TO ANALYZE.
You can do further studies if you wish, through Yahoo
Finance or other free financial sites, but continuing
research shows, so far, that the system can not be improved.
The key to this system
is to invest in all the posted picks and invest in an
even number of shares. For example, if your investment
dollars allow, you might decide to buy 100 shares of
each pick. The reason for the equal number of shares
is due to the fact that no one can predict which stocks
will substantially increase in value during the investment
period and which stocks will only increase slightly
or decrease in value. So if you invest on emotion, you
might buy 10 shares of stock A and 100 shares of stock
B. In this scenario, if stock A increases substantially
but stock B decreases even a little, you are going to
lose.
Here’s an example. Stock
A is priced at $100 and you invest in 10 shares for
a total of $1,000. Stock B is only $40 so you invest
in 100 shares for a total of $4,000. Now stock A goes
up a healthy $10 for a profit of $100. Stock B goes
down only $2 for a loss of $200. You are $100 in the
hole. However, if you had invested in 10 shares of each
stock, you would have made a $100 profit on Stocks A
and only a $20 loss on stock B for a total gain of $80.
Likewise, it is best to invest in all the picks rather
than picking only certain ones. This is called “cherry
picking,” and in the Basic Strategy cherry picking usually
does not work. No one knows which stock will go up and
which will go down during the investment period. Trying
to guess which posted picks will work best is just that
- a guess. But investing in all the picks is investing
in a proven strategy with a proven track record. Hopefully
now you see why the strategy is based on all the picks
and equal shares. However, the final decision is up
to the individual trader and they should always do what
makes them comfortable.
The good news is, a trader
can choose the number of shares that best fits his/her
investment dollars. Whether a trader purchases 10 shares
of all the picks or 1,000 shares, the percentage of
gain is the same. Of course this does not take into
account commission. Obviously a low commission structure
is to your advantage. In today’s market environment,
there are many low commission online brokerage firms
to take advantage of. In fact, there are now some brokerage
firms that offer free trades if you have a minimum balance
in an account.
For more leverage and even
bigger gains, you can invest in option contracts for
a fraction of the cost of the stock. Options come in
contracts of 100 shares each. A stock that is priced
at $100 for example, could have options priced at $10
each. So a contract of 100 shares equals $1,000. This
means that for $1,000 you control 100 shares of a stock
that otherwise would have cost you $10,000. A $2 up
move in the stock might get you a $1 move in the option.
Think about this. This means that while you would get
a 2% move in the stock, if you invested in options,
you would get a 10% gain.
Options are a wonderful
leveraging tool but they do have risks. If you are not
well acquainted with options, but like the idea, read
our informational page on Stock
Options or go to the Chicago
Board of Options Exchange and study their site.
There are also many books at your bookstore or library
on stock options. We recommend “The Wall Street Money
Machine” by Wade Cook. It is a fun, easy to read book
and its information is invaluable.
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