| After
you spend enough time watching CNBC, reading daily news
from the market analysts and getting what would appear
be ground breaking news from individual companies, it's
very easy to get lost in all the information. These
pieces of information would appear to be helping you but
after you invest using this information you found out
that in fact it actually worked against you in real trading.
After seeing plenty of new investors lose 50% or more
of their investment in the first year, I have developed
10 rules that should increase your returns and help to
minimize your risk.
Rule
#1 Analysts Recommendations
These analysts would appear to be doing the
investment world a great service by giving ratings on
different stocks. In fact these analysts often
have hidden agendas that the average investor is not
aware of. Ever notice how analysts issue buy
recommendations when a stock is at its all time high
and sell recommendations
when stocks are at their all time low?
Rule
#2 Money Management
One of the important things to learn with
investing is how to manage risk. Anyone that has
no respect for risk is on the road for complete financial
disaster. You often hear these great stories about
the guy who turned a small amount of money into a million
dollars but what you don't hear is that years down the
road these same people are also often wiped out as a
result of not respecting the risks that go with investing.
Learning how to pick investments that can appreciate
in both good and bad times is key to successful investing.
Rule
# 3 P/E's Are Important
There is a good reason why there is a current
P/E ratio on every stock quote. Stocks always
have to answer to earnings at some point. Investing
in low P/E stocks doesn't guarantee positive returns,
it merely helps determine your risk/reward ratio.
All professional investors use P/E ratios as a primary
deciding factor in determining which stocks they are
going to invest in. Even though you might see
a stock that is currently growing at 30% a year, keep
in mind that in slow growth times like a recession,
it's almost impossible for companies to keep up with
aggressive growth over the long haul. As a rule,
the higher P/E you pay for a stock the more you are
speculating which increases your risk.
Rule
# 4 IPO's, OTC Stocks
Start investing in IPO's after they begin
to trade and you will be able to count the days till
you are done doing that! IPO's can start trading
up anywhere from 20% to 400% up on their first day of
trading and go straight downhill from there until they
bottom out. About 75% of all IPO's are trading
below their IPO price one year after trading.
OTC
or penny stocks defy all logic as they move up mostly
on hype instead of actual net profits.
There are 2 main ways OTC stocks move up rapidly.
1. A pump and dump tactic, in which a group
of people front-load the stock, then issue a big newsletter,
etc. in which they sell into the rally. After
the rally, the stock moves back down almost as fast
as it went up.
2. Massive PR campaigns which are used to
bring awareness to an OTC stock. These campaigns
work great for a while but by the time the average investor
sees the stock the money runs out as the stock start
to head back downhill again.
Rule
#5 Low Priced Stock Myths
Low priced stocks are not a better value
than high priced stocks and they don't go up any faster
than high priced stocks. Even in the day of free
information there is still a this feeling that if you
buy a stock that is trading at $5 a share you are have
more upside potential than a stock trading at $65 a
share. Even crazier is the feeling that if I have
more shares I am better off then if I have only have
a few shares. Fact is that only the company's
market cap that represents the total value of all shares
is important when it comes to putting a value on a company.
Rule
#6 Margin Trading is a Fools Game
The key to successful investing is having
available cash to chose the next best investing opportunity
that comes along. When you get into debt you begin
to lose your options and get trapped into your original
investments. Remember that all stocks can crash
and odds are if you are high in margin that you will
soon have a margin call, which you could lose 75% of
your money. As a general rule, buying stock on
margin is bad money management.
Rule
#7 Buying Stocks at Their 52wk High Myth
Even respectable people will tell you that
it is logical that only stocks that hit their 52wk highs
can hit their next 52wk highs and so on. Also
they say that most of the great companies are trading
at their 52wk highs. In fact that if you are losing
money on a stock it's most likely that you bought the
stock at the wrong time being when everybody wants
it.
Rule
#8 Don't try to hit the home run on every pick
Everyone wants to be the one to have their
portfolio shoot up 200% in a short amount of time.
Fact is that there is no way to achieve this without
taking on severe risk. Have you ever heard of
the story "The Tortoise
and the Hare"? The rabbit has
more speed, but the turtle has more determination, stamina
and consistency. The rabbit may get a fast start, but
the turtle wins the race.
Rule
#9 The Urge to Trade
Emotions work against you in investing and
its very easy to want constant action. The problem
is that great picks don't come along daily. Idle
periods are a part of business. You may force
yourself you to find some stock to invest in that will
go against you at the worst possible time. You
need to be emotionally clean and ready to take on a
new investment rather than get caught in a deteriorating
position. As a rule, the more you trade, the more
risk you take.
Rule
#10 All Stocks Can Crash
This is a hard lesson to learn for new investors
that ride out a single stock only to see their favorite
stock crash later on. As we have seen with history
that great stocks like Microsoft, Intel, Compaq and
AT&T have all crashed recently. While these
stocks will likely hit their highs again sometime in
the future, they just like any other stock is bound
to crash sometime no matter how great the company is.
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