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Asset
Allocation: Investing by the Numbers
Steve Selengut
Uno. Asset Allocation is an investment planning tool, not an
investment strategy... few investment professionals understand
the distinction. Investment strategies are used to implement
the asset allocation formula that investment planning produces.
Many investors incorrectly believe that investment planning
and financial planning are one and the same. Financial planning
is the broader concept, one that involves such non-investment
considerations as: Wills and Estates, insurances, budgeting,
trusts, etc. Investment Planning takes place within the Trusts,
Endowments, IRAs, and other Brokerage Accounts that come into
existence as a result of, or without, Financial Planning.
Zwei. Asset Allocation is a planning tool that allows the investor
to structure his or her investment portfolios in a manner most
likely to accomplish the goals established for each portfolio
and for the investment program as a whole. It is the process
of planning how the portfolio is to be divided between the two
broad classes of investment securities: Equities and Income.
Security sub-classes have little relevance, and should be avoided.
K.I.S.S.
Tres. Equities are the riskier of the two classes of securities,
but not because of the price fluctuations that are their basic
character trait. They are riskier because they represent ownership
in a business enterprise that could fail. The risk of capital
loss can be moderated or minimized in the security selection
process and with a management control activity called diversification.
The primary purpose for buying Equities is to sell them for
capital gains, not to save them as trophies to brag about in
chat rooms. But, they can be screened and selected in a manner
that can make them less risky than other, non-fixed income,
investments and speculations.
Shi. Income securities are less risky than equity securities
because they represent debt of the issuing entity, and owners
of debt securities have a "superior" claim on the
assets of the issuer. Stockholders have to rely on their salivating
class-action attorneys to mitigate their losses if the company
fails. With proper selection criteria and diversification, the
risk of capital loss is negligible and price fluctuations can
be mostly ignored except for the trading opportunities that
they provide. The primary purpose of these securities is income
generation, either for current consumption or for use later
in life. Capital gains here should be taken... and bragged about
in those chat rooms.
Cinque. An Asset Allocation Formula is a long-range, semi-permanent,
planning decision that has absolutely nothing to do with market
timing or hedging of any kind. It is designed to produce the
combination of Capital Growth and Income that will achieve the
long-range personal (pay those bills) goals of the individual.
Thus, it must not be tinkered with because of expectations about
anything, or rebalanced arbitrarily because of natural changes
in the market values of one asset class or the other. An asset
allocation mutual fund is an oxymoron.
Hat. Asset Allocation is the only proven cure for inflation.
If properly managed using The Working Capital Model, it will
almost certainly increase the level of portfolio income by more
than the rate of inflation, which is a measure of the purchasing
power of your dollars, not the dollar value of your purchased
securities. Any 100%-equity investment portfolio, regardless
of size, is less inflation proof than any same-size, more balanced,
portfolio. This is because the income on equities, and the capital
gains that they may produce, are not contractual, and too often
ignored when they do make an appearance..
Sju. In addition to the potential of failing to keep up with
inflation using an Equity Only asset allocation, regardless
of your age, greed management becomes much more of a problem.
In a rising market, evidenced by the presence of more profit
taking opportunities than lower priced bargains, investors tend
to take positions in lower quality issues, current story stocks,
newer issues, etc... just to be in there. A 30% or so Fixed
Income allocation can be a major focus factor, and it will keep
the base income line moving upward.
Tam. Many investors, and even a large number of Investment
Professionals, think that income securities have some claim
to price stability in addition to their role in providing present
or future disposable income. They just don't, and their prices
may fluctuate in either direction in anticipation of changes
in expectations about the direction of interest rates.
Isishiyagalolunye. If you focus exclusively on market value,
dwell upon comparisons of your unique portfolio with the market
averages, expect performance of some kind during specific time
intervals, and listen intently when someone speaks about the
future, any asset allocation work you do will be ineffective.
Desyat. Cash is not an investment and, therefore, is not a
class of assets within an asset allocation model. Most entities
that include cash or money market balances in their portfolio
mix are using it as a hedge against market movements in one
direction or the other... in the future. This is a market-timing
effort that has no place in asset allocation planning or thinking.
Asset allocation transcends both short-term market trends and
long-term market cycles.
Steve Selengut
http://www.sancoservices.com
http://www.investmentmanagementbooks.com
Professional Portfolio Management since 1979
Author of: "The Brainwashing of the American Investor:
The Book that Wall Street Does Not Want YOU to Read", and
"A Millionaire's Secret Investment Strategy"
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