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Investment
Politics: Jobs and The Economy
Steve Selengut
Who wants
to be a president; the President of the United States? Social
Security reform is the winning ticket. Research supports the
thesis that Social Security reform would provide all the lubrication
necessary to get our economic ball bearings rolling in the right
direction. Economies do not grow, or increase employment, when
job providers are taxed and regulated unmercifully, throttling
their energy, creativity, and profitability. Consumer spending
pushes the economy; we need to do more than hand out a few hundred
bucks.
The objective
of the exercise, Barack, is to permanently place more disposable
income in consumers' wallets while providing incentives for
employers to hire more workers. There are three areas where
the impact of reforms would be beneficial to all, irrespective
of political sentiment. Social Security reform would benefit
the most people, most quickly. Next on the list, Hillary, would
be elimination of income taxes (federal, state, and local) on:
(a) all forms of retirement income, and then, (b) all forms
of investment income. Third, and particularly important for
job creation, John, would be the elimination of all income taxes
and nuisance fees on businesses. Who wants to be President?
Social Security
will be the easiest to implement quickly while producing unprecedented
increases in disposable income, business cost reductions, and
job growth. Here's a rough outline of a brainstorming plan.
Throw out the politics and focus on the program--- phase one
deadline, January 1,2010. Change Social Security funding to
a mandatory, private program, for all employed persons, and
add a voluntary program for those who are not employed. All
employees would contribute to deferred fixed annuities, purchased
from new divisions of qualified financial institutions. Existing
Social Security credits would be the initial deposit to the
contracts for all participants under age 60.
Employer
matching contributions would be eliminated and participant contributions
would be cut to a mandatory 3% of total compensation (including
deferred comp, stock options, etc.). Both changes would be phased
into the system by participant age group over a five-year period,
youngest first. The five age groups would be 13-year periods
starting at zero to thirteen (obviously for voluntary accounts)
and ending with ages fifty-two through sixty-five. Phase one
would involve qualifying providers, assignment of workers, issuance
of contracts, elimination of employer matching contributions,
and elimination of income taxes on social security payments.
Employers would be required to appoint at least one person to
coordinate the transition. Contributions to the annuity contracts
would begin upon issue; the Social Security Administration (SSA)
would have five years to move credits to participants, starting
with the youngest group, and would be responsible for shortfalls
to retirees !
for five years.
Under the
new system, there would be no penalties for early retirement,
but tax free annuity payments would begin at age sixty-five
whether or not the person continued to work. Participants could
voluntarily establish retirement accounts for non-working spouses
and children, and could elect to deduct an additional 1% of
salary for each account. A new Federal Administration for Social
Security (ASS) will select, qualify, and monitor provider companies
and their investment portfolios to assure that only high quality,
income-generating securities are used to fund benefits. Companies
showing a surplus would be able to invest up to 25% of the surplus
in stocks that qualify for the Investment Grade Value Stock
Index (IGVSI).
Only fixed
life annuities would be available, but there would be 50% of
cash value, family-only, death benefits up until the time of
retirement. After age 65, the death benefit would be reduced
10% per year for four years. There would be no loans, withdrawal
privileges, etc.
The ASS
would be represented on provider company boards, would monitor
annual audits of firm financial statements, and would supervise
the selection of all non-company directors (60% of the board).
Each provider company would be encouraged to use non-market
value portfolio assessment techniques, such as The Working Capital
Model, to monitor income portfolios. Retiree associations would
also be represented on company boards of directors, and board
member compensation would be capped at a reasonable number,
plus 45% of ASS related expenses.
Annuity
providers would be assigned a fair share of the huge Social
Security Retirement Income Account (SSRIA) participant pool;
every dollar contributed would be invested. All providers would
use the same mortality tables and base interest rate guarantees
in their calculations and would be precluded from any form of
advertising. Companies would be required to focus 100% of their
efforts on the SSRIA.
Annuity
providers would be allowed a .5% investment management fee so
long as the Annuity Investment Portfolio generated no less than
the 3.5% income level needed to fund a guaranteed 3% contractual
cash value growth rate. 50% of any excess realized income would
be added to retirement accounts in the form of dividends. The
remaining 50% would be apportioned between three separately
managed accounts for: retirement benefit support contingencies
(20%), universal health care and disability benefits for annuitants
(50%), and post retirement death benefits (10%). Half of the
remaining 20% would become "surplus". The balance
would accrue equally to the employees of the insurance company---
the mailroom staff receiving the same dollar amount as the CEO.
These changes
would produce: a whole new sub-industry of jobs, increase disposable
income, reduce the Federal budget deficit, provide universal
retirement benefit eligibility, stabilize the market for plain
vanilla corporate and government debt securities, reduce corporate
expenses and product price levels, and subsidize health care
for senior citizens. Annuity providers would have significant
incentives to minimize costs, but their investment portfolios
would be closely supervised to prevent excessive risk.
Politicians
at all levels just love for us to hate big business, and have
no compunctions about taxing and regulating employers in every
manner imaginable. The impact is higher prices, lower job creation
rates, and the need to move many operations to lower cost environments.
Many small businesses simply refuse to hire additional employees.
Regulatory procedures and company defense measures add billions
to the costs of goods and services.
Social Security
benefits are grossly inadequate yet we continue to tax all forms
of retirement benefits. Politicians ignore the simple solutions
to these problems and no one seems to care about Social Security
reform. It's just too big an issue to be so shockingly ignored,
but the last politician with any courage--- well, I can't remember
who that was either.
Steve Selengut
http://www.sancoservices.com
http://www.investmentmanagementbooks.com
Professional Portfolio Management since 1979
Author of: "The Brainwashing of the American Investor:
The Book that Wall Street Does Not Want YOU to Read", and
"A Millionaire's Secret Investment Strategy"
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