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Your
401(k) Investments and the IGVSI
Steve Selengut
Smack, right
up alongside the head. Your 401(k) investment program deteriorated
rapidly as the stock market and the economy weakened. Who would
have thought that there was so much risk of loss in those mutual
funds, and ETFs? Fortunately, the pain is most often temporary,
but the timing of the recovery could alter some participant
retirement schedules and benefits--- not to mention the hefty
confiscation level retirees can count on from Uncle Sam.
The popularity
of self-directed 401(k) benefit plans is understandable. Employees
typically get an instant profit from generous employer matching
contributions, a variety of investment products to choose from,
and portability between jobs. But the benefit to employers is
far greater--- an easy, low-cost, employee benefit plan with
virtually no responsibility for the safety of the investments,
and no lifetime commitment to benefit payments. In some instances
though, employees are required to invest too large a portion
of their account in company stock--- a situation that has caused
major problems in the past (Enron, for example).
401(k) plans
have virtually replaced the private pension system, and in the
process, have transferred total investment responsibility from
trustee caliber professionals to hundreds of millions of investment
amateurs. Employees get little professional guidance with regard
to selecting an appropriate mix of investment vehicles from
the glossies provided by 401(k) fund providers. Few Employee
Benefit Department counselors have degrees (or hands-on experience)
in economics, investing, or financial planning, and wind up
using the "unbiased" counseling services of the funds'
salespersons. How convenient for them. Interestingly, most salespersons
also have no hands-on investment experience either--- go figure.
Similarly,
the financial planning and accounting communities seem to have
little concern about such basic investment tenets as QDI (quality,
diversification, and income). If they did, there would never
be instances where individual investors lose everything in their
one fund, one stock, or one-property investment programs. QDI
is the fire insurance policy of the investment plan, but few
401(k) participants hear about anything beyond: past market
value performance numbers, future performance projections, and
the like. They are not generally aware of the risks inherent
in their investment programs.
This is
where an understanding of investment grade value stock (IGVS)
investing, the IGVSI and related market statistics becomes important
to 401(k) participants, company benefit departments, accountants
and other financial professionals. IGVS investing is just perfect
for long-term, regular-deposit-commitment investment programs.
Somehow,
we've got to get 401(k) investors to understand the framework
of an investment/retirement program and, then, we have to get
participants and/or their professional advisors to look inside
the products being offered. As much as I hate the idea of one-size-fits-all
investment products, they are generally accepted as the best
way to deal with larger employer 401(k) programs--- most employers
don't even know that more personalized approaches exist.
Only when
some form of company, sector, or economy melt down occurs, does
the head scratching (and the investigating) begin. 401(k) participants
need to understand that they are not immune to the vagaries
of market, economic, and interest rate cycles. Along with their
employee benefit plan comes total responsibility for the long-term
performance of the investment/retirement program. Are you in
good hands?
Historically,
IGV stocks fluctuate enough (both in general and by sector)
to allow for mutual fund and ETF investors to select the less
risky offerings from among the 401(k) product menu at the most
advantageous times--- but all individual investors need to learn
how to identify the risks and to learn how to deal with them.
Typically, 401(k) participants buy the higher priced, last-year-best-performing,
and hot sector offerings while they sell or avoid the various
products they feel have "under performed" the market.
Nowhere
else in their lives do they adopt such a perverse strategy.
And nowhere else in their thinking would they blindly accept
the premise that any one number represents what is, or should
be, going on in their personal investment portfolios. Risk minimization
begins with quality, is enhanced through diversification, and
is compounded with realized income.
The first
two steps require research, greed control, and discipline. The
income part just requires discipline, so it should be much easier
to manage. If you cannot identify and understand the individual
securities within an investment product, and assess the overall
quality (economic viability and risk protection), don't invest
in it. If you have more than 5% of your portfolio in any one
individual security, or 15% in any one sector (industrial, geographical,
social, political, etc.), make some changes.
Since 401(k)
plans are almost exclusively mutual fund shopping malls, it
is difficult to assess the income or cash flow component of
the risk minimization function. Product descriptions, or your
benefits representative, should provide the answers. You can
stay away from products that refuse to share the income with
you, but the best way to benefit from a fund based benefit plan
is to establish selling targets for the products you select.
If your Blind Faith Fund Unit Value rises 10%, sell all or part
of it and move the proceeds to another opportunity that is down
20%. Profit taking is the ultimate risk minimizer.
So long
as we are in an environment where retirement plan income (and
principal in the case of all private plans) is subject to income
taxation, 401(k) participants would be wise to establish an
after tax income portfolio invested in tax exempt securities---
or to vote more selfishly.
Steve Selengut
http://www.sancoservices.com
http://www.investmentmanagementbooks.com
Professional Portfolio Management since 1979
Author of: "The Brainwashing of the American Investor:
The Book that Wall Street Does Not Want YOU to Read", and
"A Millionaire's Secret Investment Strategy"
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